NWS Winter Weather Advisory (Avery County)

Current Conditions
Beech Mtn

Temp: 48.7°F

Forecast Last Updated at Wednesday, March 4, 2015 at 6:46PM

Cold Air Inbound

We have pleasant conditions early this evening. But colder air arrives tonight behind the passage of a sharp cold front.. It will spread rain showers across the region tonight into early Thursday. Temperatures begin a nosedive tonight that does not end until Thursday night. The complication in the process is that temperatures aloft will fall more slowly than at the surface. So the transition will be from rain to freezing rain/sleet ending as snow or snow showers. The ice will limit accumulation totals but it's a significant headache nonetheless. Prepare today for a rather nasty Thursday.

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Wednesday Hi: 63 Lo: 30 Cloudy; Rain; Falling temperatures; Wind becoming NW 10-20 mph & gusty

Thursday Hi: 30 Lo: 9 Cloudy; Falling temps; AM rain to freezing rain, then to snow & snow showers in the afternoon; NW wind 10-20 mph & gusty, becoming light overnight

Friday Hi: 26 Lo: 22 Few clouds; Cold; Light wind becoming West 5-10 mph

Saturday Hi: 41 Lo: 30 Mostly clear; Much nicer

Sunday Hi: 43 Lo: 30 Partly to mostly cloudy

Further Out

Monday - Few clouds; Seasonal temperatures; High in the lower 40s; Low in the lower 30s
Tuesday - Partly to mostly cloudy; Milder; High in the upper 40s; Low in the mid 30s

Forecast Discussion

We said it would be a roller coaster ride this week... Be ready for the free fall tomorrow.

A front will move across the Appalachians this evening. Ahead of the front today, a strong southwesterly flow pumped temperatures up today. Steady rain arrives tonight and temperatures begin a long and sharp fall.

Thursday morning temperatures will fall below freezing changing rain to freezing rain and sleet. The precipitation type will be icy (rather than snowy) because temperatures aloft will fall more slowly than at the surface. In the afternoon, precipitation will transition to snow or snow showers before ending early in the evening. Total ice/snow accumulations in the 1"-3" range are expected. Expect a mess by afternoon.

Clouds decrease Thursday night with very cold temperatures. Friday looks cold for March with mostly sunny skies as high pressure moves across the Ohio Valley.

If you are looking for nicer weather, I have good news on that topic. High pressure "takes up shop" in the Eastern U. S. giving us an extended dry period with gradually milder weather, Saturday through Tuesday.

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