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Current Conditions
Beech Mtn

Temp: 9.9°F
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Beech Mountain , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Friday, December 9, 2016 at 6:01PM

No Pain, No Gain

Cold arrived on schedule Thursday. Snow showers and flurries flew this morning with mostly dusting-level accumulations. Today is the coldest day since Valentine's Day. Our bodies do not remember this kind of cold. So, like an out of shape athlete getting restarting a training program, today's cold hurts. Winds will settle somewhat this evening helping ease the pain somewhat. After a bitterly cold Saturday morning, Saturday afternoon will be cold but not AS cold. Clouds increase Sunday afternoon with temperatures continuing to moderate, the next chance for rain is late Sunday night.

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Hi: 12 Lo: 11

Clear skies; VERY Cold; NW wind 5-15 mph & diminishing

Hi: 24 Lo: 20

Clear; Cold, but not as cold by afternoon; AM wind West 5-15 mph, then becoming light

Hi: 35 Lo: 33

Increasing PM clouds; A step milder; Maybe a shower late Sunday night; South wind 5-15 mph, but SW and gusty up top Sun. night

Hi: 41 Lo: 35

Clouds; Periods of light rain during the daytime

Hi: 41 Lo: 30

Mostly cloudy; A brief break; Maybe a few showers Tue. night

Further Out

Wednesday - Generally cloudy; Periods of light rain; Turning colder Wed. night with snow showers or flurries possible; High near 40 degrees; Low in the lower 20s
Thursday - Morning clouds with snow showers or flurries possible; Much colder again; High in the lower 20s; Low near 10 degrees

Forecast Discussion

It's December. It oughta get cold. There's nothing extreme here, but it is cold, and it was accompanied by a morning burst of flurries, particularly for the TN/NC border areas. Gusty winds (again nothing extreme) will be easing off tonight.

Arctic high pressure moves from the Northern Plains today to the Appalachians tomorrow. It will be off the Atlantic coast by late Sunday. You know the resulting temperature progression: cold, then not as cold in gradual steps. Saturday night, valleys will be colder than mountaintops with a good set up for radiational cooling.

The next front arrives Monday. Clouds increase Sunday afternoon then rain arrives late Sunday night and lasts through much of the daytime Monday. Rain will be mostly light, steadiest Monday morning.

From there, computer guidance differs (Tuesday and Wednesday). We'll ride the horse showing a break between fronts. So, in spite of some guidance rushing light rain back in here Tuesday, our forecast calls for a brief, mild break Tuesday. Then rain returns later Tuesday night or even as late as Wednesday as the next front arrives from the west. The second event also is "mostly light".

Another arctic blast is in sight. It arrives Wednesday night or Thursday with snow showers or flurries late Wednesday night into Thursday. Given how dry these airmasses have been (and the non-favorable, flatter troughs that do not give us a Great Lakes connection), I would not get too excited about snow prospects.


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