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Elk River East , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Wednesday, May 6, 2015 at 11:35AM

Lots of Nice; Afternoon Provisos

Warm temperatures and mostly pleasant weather continue to be the primary forecast themes; however, like the last two days, we have to be on alert for a popup afternoon shower or thundershower. Today, the focus for popup showers is farther north (Ashe and Alleghany Counties and into SW VA). During the next seven days, the ones with greatest afternoon thundershower activity are Thursday and Monday. I hope you can be outside and enjoy, but take a look at the Radar before heading out in the afternoon--as a few joggers I saw late Tuesday learned!

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Hi: 74 Lo: 48

Afternoon clouds; Pleasant; A renegade afternoon shower possible (mostly Ashe/Alleghany Co and SW VA); Light South wind

Hi: 73 Lo: 49

Partly to mostly cloudy; Pleasant temps; Widely scattered afternoon t-showers; Light & variable wind

Hi: 73 Lo: 50

Partly to mostly cloudy; Pleasant temps; A stray afternoon shower or thundershower possible; Light East wind

Hi: 73 Lo: 52

Partly to mostly cloudy; A renegade afternoon t-shower possible

Hi: 73 Lo: 53

Partly to mostly cloudy; A stray afternoon t-shower

Further Out

Monday - Partly to mostly cloudy; Still warm; Scattered mostly afternoon showers & t-showers; High in the lower 70s; Low in the lower 50s
Tuesday - Partly to mostly cloudy; Continued warm; Widely scattered afternoon t-showers; High in the lower 70s; Low in the upper 40s

Forecast Discussion

High pressure centered in the Atlantic extends into the Southeast. It will block a front from the west or north from reaching us until Tuesday. The "chink in its armor" is an area of disturbed weather from South Florida to the Northern Bahamas.

That "chink" will develop into a low lurking off the Southeast Coast for many days. It might even strengthen into a named subtropical storm; "Ana" would be the name. That low will not directly affect our weather but, after developing east of Jacksonville, FL today, it will drift north and be off the Carolina Coast until Monday.

Now for our weather... Warm weather will persist for the next seven days with tons of dry, pleasant hours. Here are the rain "provisos":
Today, the focus for isolated afternoon showers and thundershowers is farther north today--Ashe/Alleghany Counties and into SW VA. But still, we cannot rule out a stray shower anywhere across the Carolina Mountains.
Thursday appears to have increased shower/thundershower activity in the afternoon. We'll call it "widely scattered".
Friday through Sunday, we go back to just merely "stray" afternoon shower/thundershower coverage.
Monday, we may get a bit more of an influx of moisture from the Coastal low as it moves slowly north along the North Carolina Coast. We'll give it a cautious "scattered" coverage, mostly in the afternoon.
In spite of a front moving through here from the west, most of the rain will be with the Coastal low in the Mid-Atlantic. Thundershower coverage appears to be "widely scattered" at most.

But don't let all that "rain talk" get in the way of the main theme--NICE!


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