NWS Frost Advisory (Avery County)

Current Conditions
Elk River West

Temp: 41.4°F

Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, October 17, 2019 at 6:40PM

Chilly; Valley Frost Possible

The difference a day makes :-). Mountaintops were in the upper 20s this morning and even some snizzle and rime ice made an appearance at the very top of Beech Mountain. As clouds peel backed revealing ample sunshine temperatures remained on the cool side today and the chill was enhanced by a gusty northwest wind. Skies are clear for the most part tonight and it's going to get chilly. Chilly enough where some valley locations should see the first frost of the season. Friday is very nice and not as cool after the chilly start.



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Mostly cloudy, Upper 50s
2nd Half showers possible
SE wind 5-15 mph

Thursday Hi: 49 Lo: 34 Mostly clear; Chilly with frost possible in valleys; NW wind 5-15 mph & gusty

Friday Hi: 57 Lo: 35 Sunny; Slightly warmer after a chilly start; Frost possible in deeper valleys Fri. night; NW wind 5-15 mph becoming light

Saturday Hi: 57 Lo: 44 Becoming mostly cloudy; Showers arriving late afternoon or evening; Cool; SE wind 5-15 mph

Sunday Hi: 63 Lo: 50 Perhaps some lingering light rain early; Decreasing clouds & warmer; Nice finish

Monday Hi: 62 Lo: 50 More afternoon clouds; Showers arrive Monday night; Pleasant

Further Out

Tuesday - Cloudy with showers; Less warm; High in the upper 50s; Low in the upper 30s
Wednesday - Sunshine returns; Cool; High in the upper 40s; Low in the mid 30s

Forecast Discussion

I'll start with the biggest wrinkle in the forecast and that is a tropical system developing in the Bay of Campeche. It may get a name by later tonight. The storm moves northeast towards the Florida Panhandle by Saturday morning and then quickly to the Outer Banks 24 hours later. It is a broad system and unless it moves further east we're in line for showers arriving late Saturday afternoon or evening and then quickly departing Sunday morning. Needless to say it's one of the biggest weekends of the year in the High Country with App State Homecoming, Woolly Worm Festival, and Valle Country Fair. It's not all bad news, but be prepared for rain late in the day. Sunday has morning clouds and perhaps some lingering showers, but it's mostly dry.

In the meantime tonight is chilly, brisk and some valley locations see the first frost of the season. High pressure moves overhead Friday and temperatures get a boost after a chilly start.

Another sharp cold front moves through Tuesday. Pre-frontal showers arrive late Monday night and continue into Tuesday followed by another cooldown Wednesday.

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