Forecast Last Updated at Monday, October 2, 2023 at 6:16PM

10 Up to 10 Down

Today through Thursday has unseasonably warm daytime temperatures, cool nights, and a brief periods of early morning valley fog. Later this week, the pattern changes from a warm ridge in the East to a chilly, broad trough building from the Great Lakes into the East. Now our daytime highs are 7-10 degrees above average, by Sunday we'll be almost 10 degrees cooler than average. Rain is greatly limited in both amount and duration, somewhere between late Friday to early Saturday.

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Monday Hi: 74 Lo: 49 Mostly clear; Cool; Light East wind

Tuesday Hi: 74 Lo: 49 Mostly sunny after a some early clouds; Warm for early October; Light SE wind

Wednesday Hi: 74 Lo: 47 Mostly sunny after early valley fog; Unseasonably warm for Oct.; Light SE wind

Thursday Hi: 71 Lo: 50 Partly cloudy after early AM valley fog; More clouds Thur. night; Continued pleasant

Friday Hi: 68 Lo: 45 Mostly cloudy; A shower or two possible late-day & overnight; Turning cooler

Further Out

Saturday - Mostly to partly cloudy; Cannot rule out an AM shower; Turning much cooler; Windy; High in the upper 50s; Low in the mid 30s
Sunday - Mostly sunny; Chilly; High in the mid 50s; Low in the mid 30s

Forecast Discussion

For the next four days, we are in the warm easy chair of an Omega Blocking pattern. High pressure covers the Eastern U.S. The result is unseasonably warm daytimes, cool nights especially in valleys from radiational cooling, and brief early morning valley fog.

By the weekend, a broad chilly trough progresses from the Great Lakes into the Eastern U.S. propelling a potent (but moisture starved) front across the Appalachians Friday night or early Saturday morning. Friday is less warm with more clouds. A shower or two is possible late Friday afternoon through Saturday morning. Then Saturday is windy and cooler. Sunday is even chillier. By next Monday morning frost will be a decent bet.

In the Atlantic, the tropical lull continues. Only Tropical Storm Phillipe is left standing, just east of Barbuda. It's drifting north and will strengthen once it passes east of Bermuda.

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